tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Houston → Miami via Baltimore: arrives on time 9%

  1. 15:25 HOU → 19:35 BWI
    WN 184 · Southwest · 3h 10m · 27% on time, 15.4% cancelled
  2. 55m layover in Baltimore (BWI) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 20:30 BWI → 23:15 MIA
    WN 235 · Southwest · 2h 45m · 50% on time, 6.1% cancelled

Total trip 6h 50m, scheduled departure to arrival (Miami is 1 h ahead of Houston). Times are local. Both flew on 24 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection23%The first flight arrived more than 10 minutes late on 77% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 55m layover.
Arrives on time9%First flight not cancelled (15.4% are) × connection made (23%) × second flight not cancelled (6.1% are) and within 15 minutes (50%).
Total trip6h 50mHOU 15:25 to MIA 23:15, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.