tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Houston → Jacksonville via Baltimore: arrives on time 24%

  1. 15:25 HOU → 19:35 BWI
    WN 184 · Southwest · 3h 10m · 27% on time, 15.4% cancelled
  2. 1h 15m layover in Baltimore (BWI) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 20:50 BWI → 22:55 JAX
    WN 4438 · Southwest · 2h 08m · 62% on time, 9.5% cancelled

Total trip 6h 33m, scheduled departure to arrival (Jacksonville is 1 h ahead of Houston). Times are local. Both flew on 24 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection50%The first flight arrived more than 30 minutes late on 50% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 15m layover.
Arrives on time24%First flight not cancelled (15.4% are) × connection made (50%) × second flight not cancelled (9.5% are) and within 15 minutes (62%).
Total trip6h 33mHOU 15:25 to JAX 22:55, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.