tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Baltimore → Los Angeles via San Jose: arrives on time 32%

  1. 12:50 BWI → 15:25 SJC
    WN 186 · Southwest · 5h 35m · 51% on time, 2.4% cancelled
  2. 55m layover in San Jose (SJC) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 16:20 SJC → 17:40 LAX
    WN 4541 · Southwest · 1h 20m · 74% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 7h 50m, scheduled departure to arrival (Los Angeles is 3 h behind Baltimore). Times are local. Both flew on 24 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection44%The first flight arrived more than 10 minutes late on 56% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 55m layover.
Arrives on time32%First flight not cancelled (2.4% are) × connection made (44%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (74%).
Total trip7h 50mBWI 12:50 to LAX 17:40, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.