tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Santa Ana → Chicago via Denver: arrives on time 36%

  1. 10:55 SNA → 14:10 DEN
    WN 187 · Southwest · 2h 15m · 77% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 50m layover in Denver (DEN) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 15:00 DEN → 18:20 MDW
    WN 1603 · Southwest · 2h 20m · 61% on time, 3.4% cancelled

Total trip 5h 25m, scheduled departure to arrival (Chicago is 2 h ahead of Santa Ana). Times are local. Both flew on 24 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection62%The first flight arrived more than 5 minutes late on 38% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 50m layover.
Arrives on time36%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (62%) × second flight not cancelled (3.4% are) and within 15 minutes (61%).
Total trip5h 25mSNA 10:55 to MDW 18:20, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.