tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Santa Ana → Minneapolis via Denver: arrives on time 44%

  1. 10:55 SNA → 14:10 DEN
    WN 187 · Southwest · 2h 15m · 77% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 1h 15m layover in Denver (DEN) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 15:25 DEN → 18:20 MSP
    WN 1639 · Southwest · 1h 55m · 52% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 5h 25m, scheduled departure to arrival (Minneapolis is 2 h ahead of Santa Ana). Times are local. Both flew on 24 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection85%The first flight arrived more than 30 minutes late on 15% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 15m layover.
Arrives on time44%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (85%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (52%).
Total trip5h 25mSNA 10:55 to MSP 18:20, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.