tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Fort Lauderdale → Los Angeles via Chicago: arrives on time 14%

  1. 18:20 FLL → 20:25 MDW
    WN 1870 · Southwest · 3h 05m · 39% on time, 2.0% cancelled
  2. 1h 00m layover in Chicago (MDW) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 21:25 MDW → 23:50 LAX
    WN 3364 · Southwest · 4h 20m · 36% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 8h 25m, scheduled departure to arrival (Los Angeles is 3 h behind Fort Lauderdale). Times are local. Both flew on 47 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection39%The first flight arrived more than 15 minutes late on 61% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 00m layover.
Arrives on time14%First flight not cancelled (2.0% are) × connection made (39%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (36%).
Total trip8h 25mFLL 18:20 to LAX 23:50, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.