tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Fort Lauderdale → Seattle via Chicago: arrives on time 34%

  1. 18:20 FLL → 20:25 MDW
    WN 1870 · Southwest · 3h 05m · 39% on time, 2.0% cancelled
  2. 1h 35m layover in Chicago (MDW) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 22:00 MDW → 00:30 SEA +1 day
    WN 4144 · Southwest · 4h 30m · 57% on time, 4.1% cancelled

Total trip 9h 10m, scheduled departure to arrival (Seattle is 3 h behind Fort Lauderdale). Times are local. Both flew on 47 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection63%The first flight arrived more than 50 minutes late on 37% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 35m layover.
Arrives on time34%First flight not cancelled (2.0% are) × connection made (63%) × second flight not cancelled (4.1% are) and within 15 minutes (57%).
Total trip9h 10mFLL 18:20 to SEA 00:30, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.