tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Fort Lauderdale → New Orleans via St Louis: arrives on time 23%

  1. 19:10 FLL → 21:00 STL
    WN 1875 · Southwest · 2h 50m · 59% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 50m layover in St Louis (STL) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 21:50 STL → 23:35 MSY
    WN 3964 · Southwest · 1h 48m · 52% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 5h 28m, scheduled departure to arrival (New Orleans is 1 h behind Fort Lauderdale). Times are local. Both flew on 32 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection44%The first flight arrived more than 5 minutes late on 56% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 50m layover.
Arrives on time23%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (44%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (52%).
Total trip5h 28mFLL 19:10 to MSY 23:35, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.