tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Atlanta → Richmond via Baltimore: arrives on time 19%

  1. 19:50 ATL → 21:45 BWI
    WN 189 · Southwest · 1h 55m · 59% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 55m layover in Baltimore (BWI) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 22:40 BWI → 23:38 RIC
    WN 2353 · Southwest · 58m · 37% on time, 6.9% cancelled

Total trip 3h 48m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 24 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection54%The first flight arrived more than 10 minutes late on 46% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 55m layover.
Arrives on time19%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (54%) × second flight not cancelled (6.9% are) and within 15 minutes (37%).
Total trip3h 48mATL 19:50 to RIC 23:38, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.