tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Atlanta → Portland via Baltimore: arrives on time 25%

  1. 19:50 ATL → 21:45 BWI
    WN 189 · Southwest · 1h 55m · 59% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 50m layover in Baltimore (BWI) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 22:35 BWI → 00:10 PWM +1 day
    WN 4382 · Southwest · 1h 35m · 56% on time, 5.2% cancelled

Total trip 4h 20m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 24 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection48%The first flight arrived more than 5 minutes late on 52% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 50m layover.
Arrives on time25%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (48%) × second flight not cancelled (5.2% are) and within 15 minutes (56%).
Total trip4h 20mATL 19:50 to PWM 00:10, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.