tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Spokane → San Diego via Sacramento: arrives on time 27%

  1. 17:30 GEG → 19:25 SMF
    WN 1890 · Southwest · 1h 55m · 62% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 1h 00m layover in Sacramento (SMF) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 20:25 SMF → 22:00 SAN
    WN 3822 · Southwest · 1h 32m · 43% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 4h 27m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 40 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection62%The first flight arrived more than 15 minutes late on 38% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 00m layover.
Arrives on time27%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (62%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (43%).
Total trip4h 27mGEG 17:30 to SAN 22:00, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.