tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Honolulu → Oakland via Las Vegas: arrives on time 55%

  1. 11:55 HNL → 20:45 LAS
    WN 1914 · Southwest · 5h 50m · 91% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 1h 10m layover in Las Vegas (LAS) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 21:55 LAS → 23:25 OAK
    WN 2288 · Southwest · 1h 30m · 58% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 8h 30m, scheduled departure to arrival (Oakland is 3 h ahead of Honolulu). Times are local. Both flew on 36 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection95%The first flight arrived more than 25 minutes late on 5% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 10m layover.
Arrives on time55%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (95%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (58%).
Total trip8h 30mHNL 11:55 to OAK 23:25, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.