tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Honolulu → Seattle via Las Vegas: arrives on time 47%

  1. 11:55 HNL → 20:45 LAS
    WN 1914 · Southwest · 5h 50m · 91% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 1h 10m layover in Las Vegas (LAS) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 21:55 LAS → 00:35 SEA +1 day
    WN 4196 · Southwest · 2h 40m · 50% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 9h 40m, scheduled departure to arrival (Seattle is 3 h ahead of Honolulu). Times are local. Both flew on 24 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection95%The first flight arrived more than 25 minutes late on 5% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 10m layover.
Arrives on time47%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (95%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (50%).
Total trip9h 40mHNL 11:55 to SEA 00:35, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.