tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Oakland → Honolulu via San Diego: arrives on time 36%

  1. 15:45 OAK → 17:20 SAN
    WN 1926 · Southwest · 1h 35m · 35% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 1h 10m layover in San Diego (SAN) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 18:30 SAN → 21:25 HNL
    WN 2329 · Southwest · 5h 55m · 58% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 8h 40m, scheduled departure to arrival (Honolulu is 3 h behind Oakland). Times are local. Both flew on 24 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection62%The first flight arrived more than 25 minutes late on 38% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 10m layover.
Arrives on time36%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (62%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (58%).
Total trip8h 40mOAK 15:45 to HNL 21:25, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.