tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Phoenix → Houston via Dallas: arrives on time 53%

  1. 14:50 PHX → 19:15 DAL
    WN 1937 · Southwest · 2h 25m · 62% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 1h 15m layover in Dallas (DAL) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 20:30 DAL → 21:40 HOU
    WN 57 · Southwest · 1h 10m · 72% on time, 2.8% cancelled

Total trip 4h 50m, scheduled departure to arrival (Houston is 2 h ahead of Phoenix). Times are local. Both flew on 24 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection76%The first flight arrived more than 30 minutes late on 24% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 15m layover.
Arrives on time53%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (76%) × second flight not cancelled (2.8% are) and within 15 minutes (72%).
Total trip4h 50mPHX 14:50 to HOU 21:40, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.