tailodds FORECAST
Connection · two tickets · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Houston → Louisville via Atlanta: arrives on time 49%

  1. 17:50 HOU → 20:55 ATL
    WN 1948 · Southwest · 2h 05m · 50% on time, 3.0% cancelled
  2. 2h 07m layover in Atlanta (ATL) · 90 min minimum on separate tickets
  3. 23:02 ATL → 00:26 SDF +1 day
    DL 2624 · Delta · 1h 26m · 85% on time, 1.8% cancelled

Total trip 5h 38m, scheduled departure to arrival (Louisville is 1 h ahead of Houston). Times are local. Both flew on 31 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection61%The first flight arrived more than 37 minutes late on 39% of the days it flew: too late for the 90-minute minimum connection on a 2h 07m layover.
Arrives on time49%First flight not cancelled (3.0% are) × connection made (61%) × second flight not cancelled (1.8% are) and within 15 minutes (85%).
Total trip5h 38mHOU 17:50 to SDF 00:26, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.