tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Spokane → Santa Ana via Las Vegas: arrives on time 32%

  1. 17:10 GEG → 19:30 LAS
    WN 1951 · Southwest · 2h 20m · 81% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 50m layover in Las Vegas (LAS) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 20:20 LAS → 21:25 SNA
    WN 4266 · Southwest · 1h 08m · 52% on time, 2.9% cancelled

Total trip 4h 18m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 32 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection65%The first flight arrived more than 5 minutes late on 35% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 50m layover.
Arrives on time32%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (65%) × second flight not cancelled (2.9% are) and within 15 minutes (52%).
Total trip4h 18mGEG 17:10 to SNA 21:25, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.