tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Houston → Louisville via Nashville: arrives on time 74%

  1. 07:10 HOU → 09:10 BNA
    WN 1954 · Southwest · 2h 00m · 89% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 55m layover in Nashville (BNA) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 10:05 BNA → 12:00 SDF
    WN 670 · Southwest · 55m · 85% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 3h 50m, scheduled departure to arrival (Louisville is 1 h ahead of Houston). Times are local. Both flew on 24 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection88%The first flight arrived more than 10 minutes late on 12% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 55m layover.
Arrives on time74%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (88%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (85%).
Total trip3h 50mHOU 07:10 to SDF 12:00, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.