tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Houston → Raleigh/Durham via Nashville: arrives on time 26%

  1. 17:40 HOU → 19:35 BNA
    WN 1957 · Southwest · 1h 55m · 50% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 1h 00m layover in Nashville (BNA) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 20:35 BNA → 23:10 RDU
    WN 4431 · Southwest · 1h 35m · 53% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 4h 30m, scheduled departure to arrival (Raleigh/Durham is 1 h ahead of Houston). Times are local. Both flew on 24 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection50%The first flight arrived more than 15 minutes late on 50% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 00m layover.
Arrives on time26%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (50%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (53%).
Total trip4h 30mHOU 17:40 to RDU 23:10, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.