tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Houston → San Diego via Denver: arrives on time 56%

  1. 08:15 HOU → 09:45 DEN
    WN 1971 · Southwest · 2h 30m · 79% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 47m layover in Denver (DEN) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 10:32 DEN → 12:00 SAN
    WN 1700 · Southwest · 2h 25m · 81% on time, 1.5% cancelled

Total trip 5h 42m, scheduled departure to arrival (San Diego is 2 h behind Houston). Times are local. Both flew on 48 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection70%The first flight arrived more than 2 minutes late on 30% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 47m layover.
Arrives on time56%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (70%) × second flight not cancelled (1.5% are) and within 15 minutes (81%).
Total trip5h 42mHOU 08:15 to SAN 12:00, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.