tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Houston → Midland via Denver: arrives on time 20%

  1. 17:55 HOU → 19:40 DEN
    WN 1974 · Southwest · 2h 45m · 36% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 1h 15m layover in Denver (DEN) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 20:55 DEN → 23:40 MAF
    WN 3473 · Southwest · 1h 45m · 52% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 5h 45m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 31 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection39%The first flight arrived more than 30 minutes late on 61% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 15m layover.
Arrives on time20%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (39%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (52%).
Total trip5h 45mHOU 17:55 to MAF 23:40, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.