tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Indianapolis → Chicago via Dallas: arrives on time 11%

  1. 20:25 IND → 21:35 DAL
    WN 198 · Southwest · 2h 10m · 46% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 47m layover in Dallas (DAL) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 22:22 DAL → 01:00 MDW +1 day
    WN 1359 · Southwest · 2h 15m · 34% on time, 6.0% cancelled

Total trip 5h 12m, scheduled departure to arrival (Chicago is 1 h behind Indianapolis). Times are local. Both flew on 24 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection35%The first flight arrived more than 2 minutes late on 65% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 47m layover.
Arrives on time11%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (35%) × second flight not cancelled (6.0% are) and within 15 minutes (34%).
Total trip5h 12mIND 20:25 to MDW 01:00, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.