tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Houston → San Jose via Las Vegas: arrives on time 68%

  1. 07:50 HOU → 09:00 LAS
    WN 1998 · Southwest · 3h 05m · 98% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 55m layover in Las Vegas (LAS) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 09:55 LAS → 11:30 SJC
    WN 439 · Southwest · 1h 35m · 80% on time, 2.4% cancelled

Total trip 5h 40m, scheduled departure to arrival (San Jose is 2 h behind Houston). Times are local. Both flew on 31 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection88%The first flight arrived more than 10 minutes late on 12% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 55m layover.
Arrives on time68%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (88%) × second flight not cancelled (2.4% are) and within 15 minutes (80%).
Total trip5h 40mHOU 07:50 to SJC 11:30, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.