tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Houston → Sacramento via Las Vegas: arrives on time 86%

  1. 07:50 HOU → 09:00 LAS
    WN 1998 · Southwest · 3h 05m · 98% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 2h 25m layover in Las Vegas (LAS) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 11:25 LAS → 13:00 SMF
    WN 4532 · Southwest · 1h 35m · 88% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 7h 10m, scheduled departure to arrival (Sacramento is 2 h behind Houston). Times are local. Both flew on 31 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection98%The first flight arrived more than 100 minutes late on 2% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 2h 25m layover.
Arrives on time86%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (98%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (88%).
Total trip7h 10mHOU 07:50 to SMF 13:00, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.