tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Houston → Burbank via Las Vegas: arrives on time 38%

  1. 18:25 HOU → 19:35 LAS
    WN 2003 · Southwest · 3h 10m · 58% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 1h 10m layover in Las Vegas (LAS) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 20:45 LAS → 21:55 BUR
    WN 2163 · Southwest · 1h 10m · 56% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 5h 30m, scheduled departure to arrival (Burbank is 2 h behind Houston). Times are local. Both flew on 32 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection68%The first flight arrived more than 25 minutes late on 32% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 10m layover.
Arrives on time38%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (68%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (56%).
Total trip5h 30mHOU 18:25 to BUR 21:55, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.