tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Los Angeles → Nashville via Las Vegas: arrives on time 26%

  1. 09:35 LAX → 10:45 LAS
    WN 2007 · Southwest · 1h 10m · 48% on time, 3.8% cancelled
  2. 55m layover in Las Vegas (LAS) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 11:40 LAS → 17:20 BNA
    WN 2189 · Southwest · 3h 40m · 68% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 5h 45m, scheduled departure to arrival (Nashville is 2 h ahead of Los Angeles). Times are local. Both flew on 24 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection40%The first flight arrived more than 10 minutes late on 60% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 55m layover.
Arrives on time26%First flight not cancelled (3.8% are) × connection made (40%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (68%).
Total trip5h 45mLAX 09:35 to BNA 17:20, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.