tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Houston → Sacramento via Long Beach: arrives on time 58%

  1. 07:45 HOU → 09:00 LGB
    WN 2019 · Southwest · 3h 15m · 81% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 55m layover in Long Beach (LGB) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 09:55 LGB → 11:20 SMF
    WN 2504 · Southwest · 1h 25m · 85% on time, 2.0% cancelled

Total trip 5h 35m, scheduled departure to arrival (Sacramento is 2 h behind Houston). Times are local. Both flew on 24 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection69%The first flight arrived more than 10 minutes late on 31% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 55m layover.
Arrives on time58%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (69%) × second flight not cancelled (2.0% are) and within 15 minutes (85%).
Total trip5h 35mHOU 07:45 to SMF 11:20, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.