tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Houston → Chicago via Orlando: arrives on time 36%

  1. 11:22 HOU → 14:52 MCO
    WN 2034 · Southwest · 2h 30m · 79% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 48m layover in Orlando (MCO) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 15:40 MCO → 17:30 MDW
    WN 2658 · Southwest · 2h 55m · 60% on time, 4.1% cancelled

Total trip 6h 13m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 47 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection63%The first flight arrived more than 3 minutes late on 37% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 48m layover.
Arrives on time36%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (63%) × second flight not cancelled (4.1% are) and within 15 minutes (60%).
Total trip6h 13mHOU 11:22 to MDW 17:30, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.