tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Houston → Indianapolis via Orlando: arrives on time 11%

  1. 16:35 HOU → 20:05 MCO
    WN 2035 · Southwest · 2h 30m · 38% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 50m layover in Orlando (MCO) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 20:55 MCO → 23:15 IND
    WN 4591 · Southwest · 2h 30m · 40% on time, 1.8% cancelled

Total trip 5h 50m, scheduled departure to arrival (Indianapolis is 1 h ahead of Houston). Times are local. Both flew on 31 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection28%The first flight arrived more than 5 minutes late on 72% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 50m layover.
Arrives on time11%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (28%) × second flight not cancelled (1.8% are) and within 15 minutes (40%).
Total trip5h 50mHOU 16:35 to IND 23:15, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.