tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Houston → St Louis via Orlando: arrives on time 39%

  1. 18:05 HOU → 21:30 MCO
    WN 2036 · Southwest · 2h 25m · 67% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 1h 05m layover in Orlando (MCO) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 22:35 MCO → 00:10 STL +1 day
    WN 142 · Southwest · 2h 30m · 55% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 6h 00m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 40 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection71%The first flight arrived more than 20 minutes late on 29% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 05m layover.
Arrives on time39%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (71%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (55%).
Total trip6h 00mHOU 18:05 to STL 00:10, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.