tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Houston → Jacksonville via Chicago: arrives on time 47%

  1. 13:30 HOU → 15:55 MDW
    WN 2041 · Southwest · 2h 25m · 33% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 3h 25m layover in Chicago (MDW) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 19:20 MDW → 22:35 JAX
    WN 2792 · Southwest · 2h 20m · 51% on time, 2.4% cancelled

Total trip 8h 10m, scheduled departure to arrival (Jacksonville is 1 h ahead of Houston). Times are local. Both flew on 24 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection94%The first flight arrived more than 160 minutes late on 6% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 3h 25m layover.
Arrives on time47%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (94%) × second flight not cancelled (2.4% are) and within 15 minutes (51%).
Total trip8h 10mHOU 13:30 to JAX 22:35, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.