tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Houston → Raleigh/Durham via Chicago: arrives on time 39%

  1. 13:30 HOU → 15:55 MDW
    WN 2041 · Southwest · 2h 25m · 33% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 3h 00m layover in Chicago (MDW) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 18:55 MDW → 21:45 RDU
    WN 4221 · Southwest · 1h 55m · 46% on time, 7.1% cancelled

Total trip 7h 20m, scheduled departure to arrival (Raleigh/Durham is 1 h ahead of Houston). Times are local. Both flew on 24 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection91%The first flight arrived more than 135 minutes late on 9% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 3h 00m layover.
Arrives on time39%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (91%) × second flight not cancelled (7.1% are) and within 15 minutes (46%).
Total trip7h 20mHOU 13:30 to RDU 21:45, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.