tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Houston → Nashville via New Orleans: arrives on time 86%

  1. 05:35 HOU → 06:45 MSY
    WN 2049 · Southwest · 1h 10m · 95% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 1h 00m layover in New Orleans (MSY) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 07:45 MSY → 09:20 BNA
    WN 2981 · Southwest · 1h 35m · 90% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 3h 45m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 40 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection95%The first flight arrived more than 15 minutes late on 5% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 00m layover.
Arrives on time86%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (95%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (90%).
Total trip3h 45mHOU 05:35 to BNA 09:20, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.