tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

St Louis → Dallas via Washington: arrives on time 15%

  1. 13:20 STL → 16:20 DCA
    WN 2084 · Southwest · 2h 00m · 58% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 1h 00m layover in Washington (DCA) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 17:20 DCA → 19:30 DAL
    WN 1403 · Southwest · 3h 10m · 27% on time, 4.0% cancelled

Total trip 6h 10m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 24 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection58%The first flight arrived more than 15 minutes late on 42% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 00m layover.
Arrives on time15%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (58%) × second flight not cancelled (4.0% are) and within 15 minutes (27%).
Total trip6h 10mSTL 13:20 to DAL 19:30, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.