tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Chicago → Ontario via Sacramento: arrives on time 71%

  1. 10:20 MDW → 12:40 SMF
    WN 2094 · Southwest · 4h 20m · 70% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 1h 20m layover in Sacramento (SMF) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 14:00 SMF → 15:20 ONT
    WN 3807 · Southwest · 1h 20m · 83% on time, 2.4% cancelled

Total trip 7h 00m, scheduled departure to arrival (Ontario is 2 h behind Chicago). Times are local. Both flew on 24 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection88%The first flight arrived more than 35 minutes late on 12% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 20m layover.
Arrives on time71%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (88%) × second flight not cancelled (2.4% are) and within 15 minutes (83%).
Total trip7h 00mMDW 10:20 to ONT 15:20, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.