tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Atlanta → Los Angeles via Las Vegas: arrives on time 13%

  1. 20:10 ATL → 21:30 LAS
    WN 210 · Southwest · 4h 20m · 28% on time, 2.0% cancelled
  2. 55m layover in Las Vegas (LAS) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 22:25 LAS → 23:45 LAX
    WN 1056 · Southwest · 1h 20m · 50% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 6h 35m, scheduled departure to arrival (Los Angeles is 3 h behind Atlanta). Times are local. Both flew on 23 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection26%The first flight arrived more than 10 minutes late on 74% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 55m layover.
Arrives on time13%First flight not cancelled (2.0% are) × connection made (26%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (50%).
Total trip6h 35mATL 20:10 to LAX 23:45, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.