tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Orlando → Washington via Kansas City: arrives on time 22%

  1. 15:35 MCO → 17:30 MCI
    WN 2123 · Southwest · 2h 55m · 52% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 1h 00m layover in Kansas City (MCI) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 18:30 MCI → 21:55 DCA
    WN 458 · Southwest · 2h 25m · 42% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 6h 20m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 24 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection52%The first flight arrived more than 15 minutes late on 48% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 00m layover.
Arrives on time22%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (52%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (42%).
Total trip6h 20mMCO 15:35 to DCA 21:55, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.