tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Indianapolis → Seattle via Phoenix: arrives on time 21%

  1. 21:15 IND → 21:55 PHX
    WN 2136 · Southwest · 3h 40m · 57% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 50m layover in Phoenix (PHX) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 22:45 PHX → 01:42 SEA +1 day
    WN 3429 · Southwest · 2h 58m · 54% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 7h 28m, scheduled departure to arrival (Seattle is 3 h behind Indianapolis). Times are local. Both flew on 24 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection39%The first flight arrived more than 5 minutes late on 61% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 50m layover.
Arrives on time21%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (39%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (54%).
Total trip7h 28mIND 21:15 to SEA 01:42, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.