tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Indianapolis → Baltimore via Tampa: arrives on time 31%

  1. 19:25 IND → 21:40 TPA
    WN 2140 · Southwest · 2h 15m · 62% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 50m layover in Tampa (TPA) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 22:30 TPA → 00:55 BWI +1 day
    WN 4010 · Southwest · 2h 25m · 59% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 5h 30m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 32 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection53%The first flight arrived more than 5 minutes late on 47% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 50m layover.
Arrives on time31%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (53%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (59%).
Total trip5h 30mIND 19:25 to BWI 00:55, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.