tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Islip → Tampa via Baltimore: arrives on time 57%

  1. 12:30 ISP → 13:45 BWI
    WN 2143 · Southwest · 1h 15m · 79% on time, 1.8% cancelled
  2. 3h 20m layover in Baltimore (BWI) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 17:05 BWI → 19:45 TPA
    WN 1997 · Southwest · 2h 40m · 61% on time, 3.0% cancelled

Total trip 7h 15m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 31 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection98%The first flight arrived more than 155 minutes late on 2% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 3h 20m layover.
Arrives on time57%First flight not cancelled (1.8% are) × connection made (98%) × second flight not cancelled (3.0% are) and within 15 minutes (61%).
Total trip7h 15mISP 12:30 to TPA 19:45, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.