tailodds FORECAST
Connection · two tickets · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Islip → Orlando via Baltimore: arrives on time 48%

  1. 17:50 ISP → 19:05 BWI
    WN 2145 · Southwest · 1h 15m · 62% on time, 3.7% cancelled
  2. 2h 25m layover in Baltimore (BWI) · 90 min minimum on separate tickets
  3. 21:30 BWI → 00:09 MCO +1 day
    F9 4003 · Frontier · 2h 32m · 59% on time, 5.5% cancelled

Total trip 6h 12m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 37 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection88%The first flight arrived more than 55 minutes late on 12% of the days it flew: too late for the 90-minute minimum connection on a 2h 25m layover.
Arrives on time48%First flight not cancelled (3.7% are) × connection made (88%) × second flight not cancelled (5.5% are) and within 15 minutes (59%).
Total trip6h 12mISP 17:50 to MCO 00:09, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.