tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Islip → Myrtle Beach via Baltimore: arrives on time 34%

  1. 17:50 ISP → 19:05 BWI
    WN 2145 · Southwest · 1h 15m · 62% on time, 3.7% cancelled
  2. 1h 03m layover in Baltimore (BWI) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 20:08 BWI → 21:40 MYR
    WN 4220 · Southwest · 1h 35m · 57% on time, 6.0% cancelled

Total trip 3h 53m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 45 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection66%The first flight arrived more than 18 minutes late on 34% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 03m layover.
Arrives on time34%First flight not cancelled (3.7% are) × connection made (66%) × second flight not cancelled (6.0% are) and within 15 minutes (57%).
Total trip3h 53mISP 17:50 to MYR 21:40, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.