tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Jacksonville → Detroit via Nashville: arrives on time 56%

  1. 06:20 JAX → 06:50 BNA
    WN 2155 · Southwest · 1h 30m · 98% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 3h 20m layover in Nashville (BNA) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 10:10 BNA → 12:45 DTW
    WN 507 · Southwest · 1h 35m · 57% on time, 2.0% cancelled

Total trip 6h 25m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 40 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection100%The first flight arrived more than 155 minutes late on 0% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 3h 20m layover.
Arrives on time56%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (100%) × second flight not cancelled (2.0% are) and within 15 minutes (57%).
Total trip6h 25mJAX 06:20 to DTW 12:45, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.