tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Jacksonville → San Juan via Baltimore: arrives on time 30%

  1. 14:22 JAX → 16:18 BWI
    WN 2158 · Southwest · 1h 55m · 78% on time, 4.5% cancelled
  2. 47m layover in Baltimore (BWI) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 17:05 BWI → 21:15 SJU
    WN 1103 · Southwest · 4h 10m · 55% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 6h 53m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 40 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection57%The first flight arrived more than 2 minutes late on 43% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 47m layover.
Arrives on time30%First flight not cancelled (4.5% are) × connection made (57%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (55%).
Total trip6h 53mJAX 14:22 to SJU 21:15, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.