tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Jacksonville → Phoenix via Denver: arrives on time 58%

  1. 17:20 JAX → 18:50 DEN
    WN 2161 · Southwest · 3h 30m · 21% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 3h 18m layover in Denver (DEN) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 22:08 DEN → 23:05 PHX
    WN 1685 · Southwest · 1h 58m · 65% on time, 11.5% cancelled

Total trip 8h 46m, scheduled departure to arrival (Phoenix is 3 h behind Jacksonville). Times are local. Both flew on 24 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection100%The first flight arrived more than 153 minutes late on 0% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 3h 18m layover.
Arrives on time58%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (100%) × second flight not cancelled (11.5% are) and within 15 minutes (65%).
Total trip8h 46mJAX 17:20 to PHX 23:05, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.