tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Jacksonville → Houston via Denver: arrives on time 31%

  1. 17:20 JAX → 18:50 DEN
    WN 2161 · Southwest · 3h 30m · 21% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 1h 55m layover in Denver (DEN) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 20:45 DEN → 00:45 HOU +1 day
    WN 2026 · Southwest · 2h 30m · 54% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 7h 55m, scheduled departure to arrival (Houston is 1 h behind Jacksonville). Times are local. Both flew on 31 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection58%The first flight arrived more than 70 minutes late on 42% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 55m layover.
Arrives on time31%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (58%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (54%).
Total trip7h 55mJAX 17:20 to HOU 00:45, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.