tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

San Diego → Houston via Las Vegas: arrives on time 10%

  1. 12:55 SAN → 14:20 LAS
    WN 2183 · Southwest · 1h 25m · 48% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 50m layover in Las Vegas (LAS) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 15:10 LAS → 20:20 HOU
    WN 2243 · Southwest · 3h 10m · 37% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 5h 25m, scheduled departure to arrival (Houston is 2 h ahead of San Diego). Times are local. Both flew on 31 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection27%The first flight arrived more than 5 minutes late on 73% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 50m layover.
Arrives on time10%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (27%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (37%).
Total trip5h 25mSAN 12:55 to HOU 20:20, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.