tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Reno → Dallas via Las Vegas: arrives on time 49%

  1. 14:45 RNO → 16:15 LAS
    WN 2184 · Southwest · 1h 30m · 72% on time, 3.8% cancelled
  2. 1h 05m layover in Las Vegas (LAS) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 17:20 LAS → 22:10 DAL
    WN 2220 · Southwest · 2h 50m · 72% on time, 2.4% cancelled

Total trip 5h 25m, scheduled departure to arrival (Dallas is 2 h ahead of Reno). Times are local. Both flew on 24 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection72%The first flight arrived more than 20 minutes late on 28% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 05m layover.
Arrives on time49%First flight not cancelled (3.8% are) × connection made (72%) × second flight not cancelled (2.4% are) and within 15 minutes (72%).
Total trip5h 25mRNO 14:45 to DAL 22:10, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.