tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Santa Ana → San Jose via Las Vegas: arrives on time 29%

  1. 17:00 SNA → 18:10 LAS
    WN 2187 · Southwest · 1h 10m · 57% on time, 2.4% cancelled
  2. 1h 05m layover in Las Vegas (LAS) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 19:15 LAS → 20:45 SJC
    WN 3865 · Southwest · 1h 30m · 44% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 3h 45m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 32 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection68%The first flight arrived more than 20 minutes late on 32% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 05m layover.
Arrives on time29%First flight not cancelled (2.4% are) × connection made (68%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (44%).
Total trip3h 45mSNA 17:00 to SJC 20:45, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.