tailodds FORECAST
Connection · two tickets · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

New Orleans → Seattle via Las Vegas: arrives on time 85%

  1. 06:20 MSY → 07:55 LAS
    WN 2192 · Southwest · 3h 35m · 92% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 3h 35m layover in Las Vegas (LAS) · 90 min minimum on separate tickets
  3. 11:30 LAS → 14:14 SEA
    AS 785 · Alaska · 2h 44m · 85% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 9h 54m, scheduled departure to arrival (Seattle is 2 h behind New Orleans). Times are local. Both flew on 23 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection100%The first flight arrived more than 125 minutes late on 0% of the days it flew: too late for the 90-minute minimum connection on a 3h 35m layover.
Arrives on time85%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (100%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (85%).
Total trip9h 54mMSY 06:20 to SEA 14:14, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.